Tag: Demography

  • Muslim evolutionary strategy vs Hindu Prisoner’s Dilemma

    Muslim evolutionary strategy vs Hindu Prisoner’s Dilemma

    The world belongs to those who show up.

    The above quote delivers the hard hitting message of importance of demography in as few words as possible. If your offsprings do not show up, then they would definitely not rule the world. Demography moves very slow and hence most people do not see the impeding crisis before it hits them hard, which is one of the reasons that Yuga Parivartan repeatedly carries articles on importance of maintaining demographic superiority for survival of Hindus. Given the current environment this always boils down to suggesting Hindus on taking the lead and maintaining decent TFR to counter high Muslim fertility. Are there other policies which can work? Probably, but only to certain extent. Still the most robust among all of them is for Hindus to have enough kids. Does this mean they have to breed like rats and change their evolutionary strategy of raising quality kids?

    One has to look at operation of Jihad doctrine closely to realize what Hindus are up against. The basic strategy works in the following way:

    1. Create resource crunch
    2. Cry victimhood and blame the rest
    3. Organize and fight

    How do you go and create resource crunch? A good way to create resource crunch is to have enough offspring who all will demand out of some fixed resource thereby creating scarcity. Although modern science has taken care of basic needs but it still does not solve scarcity problems on an individual level, specially for societies with low human capital and preference for doleouts. The vehement opposition of birth control by Muslims thus comes handy in creating resource crunch by having large population size. This strategy is used when Muslims are a minority and they rapidly breed to overwhelm the opposition.

    In evolutionary sense, humans like other large species are K-selected because they produce fewer offsprings and trade quality for quantity. K-selected species are usually larger and live in stable environments and hence need fewer offspring to ensure that they pass on their genes to future generations. Number of offsprings is also restricted by the energy requirement for producing each individual, which you can also think of as pregnancy length. On the other hand, the r-selected species are small in size and produce large number of offsprings, which are cheap to manufacture, so as to survive unstable environments. So, r-selected organisms produce large number of individuals which also die off in large numbers and in the end the population size is governed by carrying capacity of the environment. For example, frogs have a large number of offsprings and many die before maturing due to resource crunch as dictated by the pond they live in.

    In an extreme sense, Muslims are turning K-selection of humans on its head. While the biological restrictions still remain the same as for any K-selected species but the strategic game played by Muslims has increasingly become r-selected, where focus is completely on quantity rather than quality. So an average Muslim will produce larger number of offspring and engage in lower parental investment. Although Muslim women still take nine months during pregnancy like everyone else, but post birth investment is low. Average Muslim matures early because he has to support himself as well as his family and find some job. While his Hindu counterpart will waste time till early 20s earning various degrees, a Muslim will find the easiest employment for supporting himself and his family. The nature of job is unimportant as long as it brings some money and help building his own new nest and the cycle continues. This also gets reflected in lower average life expectancy of a Muslim compared to others.

    Given biological constraints, this is the closest any large mammal can get to r-selection. The unstudied part of this evolutionary strategy is that this mechanism in case of Muslims is employed to generate resource crunch deliberately. Unlike frogs where r-selection is chosen by nature, Muslim strategy is a well thought out process. So, while Hindus might still believe in quality over quantity argument but it would not work since Muslims will push the environment towards resource constraint by increasingly building up a larger population. So, does Hindus have any other option than what some claim as breeding like rats?

    To understand the possible strategies for Hindus, one has to go back to the 60s and look at it in the context of arms race between US and USSR. It can also be reformulated in terms of well studied game theory concept called prisoner’s dilemma. The goal of Muslims is to achieve demographic superiority, just like US/USSR had to achieve nuclear dominance over the other power.

    Prisoner’s dilemma comes from the simple game with two players and two options. In the case of nuclear arms race, the two players are Nation A and B, which can exercise the options of Arm or Disarm. Since there are two options for each nation, it generates four cases. For each case, the payoff for A is in green, while for B in blue. In case both decide to Disarm, both get a payoff of 3 each, while if they single-handedly defect and build up an arsenal they get 4. If A knows that B will play Disarm, it is always optimal for A to arm itself and get 4 and reduce the payoff of B to 1. Since Arm is a dominating strategy, the two players who know this game will always choose to Arm instead of Disarm and get lower payoff of 2 each, instead of cooperative payoff of 3 each, in case each had decided to Disarm. This decreased payoff can be thought of as the investment needed in maintenance of nuclear stockpile.

    The same example can be extended to the Hindu-Muslim demographic situation and replace options of Arm/Disarm with Have 5 kids/Not have 5 kids. Each religion is better off by having fewer kids and focus on quality of children, but having more kids gives chance of dominating the culture and wiping off the enemy. So, if one side is known to have preference for having 5 kids, the other has no option but to resort to lower payoff and have more kids. This is a prisoner’s dilemma style situation where both the players choose sub-optimal action. Understanding this basic game explains why US/USSR rationally decided to stockpile nuclear arsenal.

    Although some caveats need to be mentioned for the demographic case. Firstly, Hindus have a majority right now and have all the reasons to maintain demographic surplus. If they lose demographic surplus, they would open India up to become next Pakistan. The game of prisoner’s dilemma still holds true even if one side has current advantage. Secondly, the propaganda against population has driven Hindus to become IQ shredders and this is an extreme case even for prisoner dilemma game. The “No child” or “1 child” option is below the replacement fertility level of 2.1 children/woman. Technically speaking 1 child preference, specially in south and urban areas, is not a great outcome even if there were no Muslims in the picture and there was no prisoner’s dilemma. So it is important for the average Hindu to reproduce at slightly above replacement i.e. 3 kids instead of 5 but 5 is the ideal given Muslim problem.

    Hindus, while still in majority, already find themselves in a soup due to diversity in beliefs and traditions and mutually non-aligned interests. One could easily imagine the problems that they will have to face once they lose the only advantage they have right now, which is demography. The way US-USSR found themselves in confrontation with one another and lack of options other than stockpiling nuclear arsenal, Hindus too are caught up in this mad race, the only difference being the impact of demography are too slow to alarm and too difficult to reverse once set in motion. So while US-USSR stockpiled nukes, Hindus are still smug in their majority. The example of Assam serves as a useful example to understand how unchecked immigration of Bengali Muslims from 100 years ago have come to haunt the Brahmaputra Valley now and will continue to do so in the future. A demographic prisoner’s dilemma is played out in front of everyone’s eyes but Hindus do not seem to understand its manifestations. Also, if Muslims have decided to act like r-selected species, they are also more than happy to live in unstable environment and survive purely on the basis of higher fertility. The K-selected species of Hindus, unless they re-evaluate their strategy, will find it hard to survive given their pining for stable environment. Other than matching Muslim fertility trends, nothing less than revamping the whole constitution and putting explicit ban on Muslim fertility can change current demographic trends. Being stuck in a prisoner’s dilemma is not optimal, but this is where Hindus stand today and the modern Indian state cannot in any way stop the r-selection strategy adopted by the Muslims.

  • How Assam ended up in a mess- a tale of greed

    How Assam ended up in a mess- a tale of greed

    Assam saw a brutal terrorist attack today. The land which strongly repulsed Mughal forces back at the heights of Mughal power has no option but to watch in horror as events unfold today. The fate of Assam was sealed some hundred years ago when greed took over and changed the demographics of this place forever.

    A once quiet place had big potential for tea plantation which was exploited to the hilt by the then powers.

    Chart: Area under tea plantation in Assam 1881–1931
    Representative restoration image generated because the original image was not embedded in the supplied HTML.
    Source: Homeshwar Goswami

    The area under tea plantation steadily went up beginning 1881, which quadrupled in the following five decades. The cheap labour needed for tea plantations were brought from other areas in Bengal and Bihar. The migration which was initially forced upon by the British colonial system was later endorsed by the middle class, which was convinced that no economic progress can take place without immigration.

    Table: Migration to Assam by religion — Muslims as dominant proportion of migrants
    Representative restoration image generated because the original image was not embedded in the supplied HTML.
    Source: Homeshwar Goswami

    What made the problem worse was that most of the immigrants were poor Muslims from Bengal. Comparing the data, one can immediately see that predominantly Muslims were migrating to Assam. Almost every decade saw an increase in Muslims in Assam due to immigration, since 80% of the migrants were Muslim.

    Table: Total percentage of immigrants in original stock — Assam 1881–1931
    Representative restoration image generated because the original image was not embedded in the supplied HTML.
    Source: Homeshwar Goswami

    To completely understand the impact of immigration on Assam, the above table comes handy — it gives the total percentage of immigrants in the original stock. It is an unprecedented story of mass immigration where in five decades the immigrant population rose from 5.3% in 1881 to 26.6% in 1931. Since almost 80% of these immigrants were Muslims, this increased the stock of Muslim population by more than 20% in five decades.

    The history of the Brahmaputra Valley for the last five decades is defined by events which took place more than 100 years ago. The hate for non-natives in Assam is very well justified due to the increased pressure on natural resources in the valley. This was a constant problem even at the time of the first phases of immigration as Assam lacked food grains, which had to be regularly imported from other areas. The once contractual workers who came for short durations kept settling down, thereby increasing pressure on resources further.

    Modern independent India did not reverse the problem but further exacerbated it by allowing unhindered immigration post independence. If you look at the current position of the state, Muslims are roughly 39% of the population in the 2011 census, which is supposed to cross 50% in the next three to four decades.

    Chart: Muslim population growth trajectory in Assam — projection to majority
    Representative restoration image generated because the original image was not embedded in the supplied HTML.
    Source: Dikgaj, Aparna, Sarkar

    The economic greed which changed the demographics of the state some hundred years ago charted the course of collision for the next hundred years. Those who think the Assam problem can be solved by development have ignored the historical reasons for the conflict, which will increasingly take religious fervour in the future. Even those who think about the idea of deporting illegal Bangladeshis only contemplate sending back those who came post 1971 — i.e. after the formation of Bangladesh. But will it solve the problem? Probably not. The damage was already completed in 1931. Muslims outbreeding other communities when in minority is a proven fact. So throwing back those who immigrated after 1971 can solve the problem momentarily by buying some time, but it will only push the conflict to the future as Assam will become a tinderbox again. Any migrant cut-off date less than 1881 won’t change the fate of the Brahmaputra Valley.

    The army of Aurangzeb must be laughing in its grave on how the Assamese willingly or unwillingly brought their own doom — after having successfully resisted the hordes of barbarians some three centuries ago.

    Sources:

    Indiafacts.org — Will Assam become Muslim majority in next 40 years?

    Population trends in Brahmaputra Valley — Homeshwar Goswami

  • Mainstream media sells out Hindu families again in Kairana

    Mainstream media sells out Hindu families again in Kairana

    There is a mass exodus of Hindu families from the town of Kairana in western Uttar Pradesh and it has been sad news circulating in social media for the past few days. But none of the mainstream media picked up the story or ran it in the news despite reports that over 350 families have been forced out of their homes from Kairana in western UP. Apparently, the Idea of India and national integrity, secularism etc. doesn’t matter to the communist cabal in the media when Hindu lives are at stake. Media ran a story of a cattle thief being killed because the police were not taking action — the thief was a Muslim. But now 350 families or nearly 1500+ Hindus have been forced out of their homes from the Kairana town of Uttar Pradesh by the Muslim majority of the town, and it has been consciously ignored by the mainstream media.

    Despite using Hindu sloganeering to come to power during elections, BJP too has conveniently forgotten its promises to Hindus after elections and has left them to rot. The recent example for this trend is the way BJP has behaved in the recent Kairana exodus of Hindus from Uttar Pradesh. BJP, true to its secular credentials and newfound minority love and development agenda, has decided that thousands of Hindus being displaced from Kairana is not worth its time nor attention and hasn’t called on the State government to take action nor made it an issue in the country. Somehow, 300 Hindu families being driven out of their homes is not worth their time.

    If it had been any other community — Christian or Muslim — there would have been massive outrage by now in the communist and human rights cabal of India and the mainstream media. But since the victims here are only Hindus, they have as usual kept their mouth shut and are consciously avoiding any mention about the exodus of Hindus from the town. This is just the Kashmiri Pandit saga all over again — with Hindus being driven out of their hometowns as soon as they reach minority and Muslims reach a majority, just like it was in Kashmir. While it is expected that the Hindu-hating communist and Congress cabal is not going to help Hindus or even squeak about it, the silence of BJP on this issue is even more pathetic.

    Either BJP seems to have forgotten that it is in power in the central government and is obligated to help the Hindus there as they are citizens of India — or they have sacrificed tens of thousands of Hindu citizens in the town of Kairana in the name of preserving peace and secularism. Is this what the “vikas vikas vikas” of BJP looks like — where Hindus do vikas and then get thrown under the bus to save artificial secularism so that Muslims can come and take over the generated wealth? Is this the reward BJP is going to give to a state which gave them 73 MP seats out of 80?

    Kairana is less than 100 km away from Delhi, which makes this exodus even more shameful. It can only happen in India that such grave human rights violations are happening so close to the capital of the country but none of the mainstream media wants to cover it. The only mainstream channel to cover this exodus is Zee News:

    Video: Zee News coverage of Kairana Hindu exodus
    Original embed unavailable in supplied archive — open a YouTube search for the referenced video.

    The events in Kairana are a sign for the future of western Uttar Pradesh which is sitting on a demographic time bomb due to rapid explosion in Muslim population. Muslims in Kairana town must be made to pay for their atrocities against Hindus there — but unless Hindus find a proper pro-Hindu party, they will keep losing their land to Muslims like they are losing since 1947 from Pakistan, Bangladesh and Kashmir to present-day Kairana. Next time the secular communist cabal and the media shouts intolerance, remind them that if being intolerant is the only way to save Hindu children, sisters and daughters, then it would be better to be intolerant Hindus than to be media pimps who don’t think twice before selling out Hindu society for their ideologies.

  • Islamism, individualism and feminism vs Hinduism

    Islamism, individualism and feminism vs Hinduism contextual illustration
    Contextual editorial illustration for the restored article.

    This article is going to be based on SM experiences on our past articles. On the cultural agenda, we have tried to highlight two broad assaults from Islamism and feminism, which come together and make a deadly cocktail for the survival of Hindus in their homeland. The reason these issues get entangled is because in a democracy, more than anything else, numbers matter. You can enforce your agenda if you have numbers — otherwise you can go for a hike. Muslims, though few in numbers compared to Hindus, have excellent organisation skills and have enforced their agenda either through voting or riots. While Islam is still debating polygamy and divorce alimony in India, urban Hindus have adopted liberal memetic themes like individualism and feminism with an open heart.

    If Hinduism were facing any one of these problems, there was a good chance to fight back and reverse the damages. But the problem has been exacerbated by the fact that all these forces have attacked India at the same time. On the one hand, Muslims have maintained a higher TFR than Hindus in all regions — as can be seen by their increasing numbers. On the other hand, few Hindus have realized this as a problem due to sickular ideology taught in schools. But even those who have acknowledged it have failed to accept the solutions as they hurt their deep-seated beliefs.

    [Image: Population map — 0–4 age cohort, district-wise] pop_0-4
    [Image: Population map — 0–4 age cohort, district-wise] pop_0-4 — restored contextual visual.

    So, what is the problem? The problem is the decreasing number of Hindus — if not throughout the country then in specific pockets throughout the country. This will have long-lasting impact on governance and culture as democracy will ensure Muslim-dominated elected bodies in the future. So what solution did we suggest? The solution is simple — maintain demographic superiority. How to do that?

    1. Increased TFR for Hindus
    2. Ghar Wapsi i.e. reconversion

    Ghar Wapsi is important but it has an added complication because it depends on luring Muslims back into their original religion. Swami Shraddhanand, the original stalwart who conducted massive Ghar Wapsi in the 1920s, had to pay with his life for his actions. Given the current democratic pressures, it has become even more difficult to go down this route. But still there are ways to do it and this path cannot be rejected completely. This brings us to the first solution — increased TFR.

    Suggesting a high TFR for Hindus made us run into many criticisms due to the pacified Hindu mindset. Compared to other similar articles, this article received much less sharing on social media. And we guess there are three important reasons behind it:

    1. 60 years of brainwashing on the population problem in India
    2. Financial difficulty in supporting big families
    3. Individualism ranging from feminism to narcissism

    “Hum Do Hamare Do” (We 2 Our 2 Children) has made a massive impact on Hindus throughout the country, so much so that any suggestion which goes against it seems ridiculous. Given this brainwashing, even though many Hindus will recognize the Islamic problem, they would still choose not to confront it head on and change their opinion on having more children. This means that a lot of men who would otherwise be sympathetic to the cause will ignore the issue because it somehow goes against their fundamental principles — to the extent where some people say they will have two high-quality Dharmic children, as if having a third child is somehow Adharmic!

    The second problem arises due to rising living costs across India. This is a problem only as long as Hindus don’t decide to act. Once they come together, child-related costs can be brought down through various measures — supporting extended families, developing community schools and support institutions. More than a hindrance, this can be classified as a logistical problem and should not deter Hindus. The fact is most well-to-do and rich people have very low fertility and they hide behind this argument only to support inaction. So there is more to it than meets the eye.

    The third source of criticism comes from rising individualism and its other supporting ideologies, especially feminism. While Muslims are largely immune to feminism, it will take a toll on Hindus by asking their women to forget their collective Dharma. Although some authors have devised smart ways to associate Dharma with the Abrahamic offshoot called feminism, it hardly stands on its feet when analysed properly.

    One way in which Hindu feminists support the current low TFR decision of Hindus is by saying that none of our Gods had large numbers of kids, nor are there any explicit guidelines for supporting high fertility among Hindus. But history suggests otherwise — Hindus had hardly been as narcissistic as other pagan civilizations and always had a demographic surplus. This ensured that they did not get trampled down by the horses of Abrahamic faith like other religions and regions. Also, Dharma is not fixed in time and is ever evolving given local conditions. Under democracy — which rewards quantity over quality — it becomes a duty of all sane Hindus to realize and work towards maintaining their demographic superiority to save their cultural heritage.

    In the end, when Hindu feminism won’t get any support from individual or collective Dharma, it is natural to fall back on original western feminism and resort to the “my body my choice” argument. While it is true that women bear a significantly larger cost of bearing children, they also get greater glory from them in the end. All Hindu scriptures have glorified great mothers who devoted their children to upholding Dharma. If those mothers had been individualistic, half of their offspring would never have seen the light of day. This also tends to be the ugliest part in this whole debate because as soon as you support high TFR, feminists raise the bogey of misogyny — as according to them only women bear the cost of having kids. Sadly, this level of narcissism is widespread as western liberal constructs have reduced bearing children to a mechanical task instead of a gift of nature celebrated widely in Hinduism through revering different fertility goddesses. So everyone ends up looking at kids as some sort of burden rather than harbingers of love and happiness.

    While it makes sense for any leftist or feminist to disregard tradition and cultural preservation as they want to destroy Hinduism, anyone who attaches himself to Hindu ethos would not outright reject the collective Dharma to maintain demographic superiority. As it becomes amply clear in this example, the Abrahamic construct of feminism is irreconcilable once a person realises his collective and individual Dharma — which is maintaining demographic superiority in this case.

    Then there is also the question of how one divides his love between himself and future generations. If you put no weight on future generations and whether they carry your traditions and culture, there is nothing stopping you from being individualistic. But as soon as you stop being myopic and develop some attachment to your future generations, it becomes imperative that your actions are aligned with your future goals. The choice thus becomes simple: either have 3–4 kids now who will help maintain Hindu majority, or see your granddaughters walking around in burqa, subjugated by polygamy and stoned for adultery under Sharia. This way the cycle of Abrahamic exclusivism will go full circle — from complete freedom under feminism to no freedom under Islam — with only a small possibility of buying a museum ticket to read about the dead middle path of Hinduism.

    Originally published April 5, 2016 on Yuga Parivartan.
  • Demographic Seize of Al-Hind

    India district-level demographic context
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.

    The above image is more than sufficient to explain the story rather than engage in a discussion and give long explanations. The demographic battle is being fought in India using wombs and nay-sayers do not know what they are getting into. The Hindus have become less than 90% in the lowest age cohort in most of the districts in the country and this cannot be taken less seriously.

    Comparative age-cohort demographic context
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.

    Just compare the two above pictures and the pattern clearly emerges. In the lowest age group, the number of Abrahamic kids are going up as most of the regions are turning from light green ⟹ dark green ⟹ red. It is an impossible challenge to find a district where this pattern has reversed i.e. a green area turning white. It would be very naive to think that this is not deliberate and just happened by chance.

    Now, lets look specifically on how the Muslims are doing as a group:

    District population-share context
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.

    Three patterns clearly emerge:

    1. The Mughal corridor going through the heart of UP and Bihar to link up with West Bengal and Bangladesh is going on at a rapid pace. The numbers in the 0–4 age group have swelled consistently.
    2. West UP and Uttarakhand have established themselves as the new demographic warzones.
    3. Assam and the north east are further sliding down from the Dharmic map. After accounting for illegal Bangladeshis, these numbers will only become worse.

    All the theories about high HDI and low Muslim fertility rate fail the sniff-test after looking at Kerala, which is supposedly the communist and liberal paradise in India. Muslims are outbreeding both Hindus and Christians in this high HDI state. There are enough videos on the internet where you can still see mullas debating on the use of condoms, clearly explaining that high Muslim fertility has a religion angle to it. But the liberals want to bury their heads in the sand and also prevent others from looking at it by hiding these facts through sophistry. Kerala is just another addition to the growing list of regions that have high Muslim fertility despite relative prosperity.

    High-concentration district context
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.

    Zooming in a bit further shows that many of the red regions actually have more than 40% Muslim population in the 0–4 age group.

    Urban demographic breakdown context
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.

    The worse picture emerges from the urban areas where most Hindus have stopped having more than 2 kids. The Muslim reluctance for contraception is more than evident here.

    Urban Hindus have given up on having children. Urban elections will be entirely Muslim dominated in a decade.
    Demographic discussion — contextual graphic
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.
    — Yuga Parivartan (@yugaparivartan), February 18, 2016

    The rural areas are still a bit better, except in West Bengal and Assam. If you see carefully, the large presence of Muslims in rural areas was the reason that it took forever to douse the communal riots in West UP and Assam.

    Rural areas completely dominated in West Bengal and Assam. West UP and Kerala follow up.
    Population trend discussion — contextual graphic
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.
    — Yuga Parivartan (@yugaparivartan), February 18, 2016

    This means that within the next 15 years Muslim youth will form a majority in these regions, specially the urban ones. And don’t expect this trend to change even after Muslims achieve population parity in their local areas. After all, Hindu genocide in Pakistan and Bangladesh did not happen very far in the past.

    Well, talking of Bangladesh — in contrast to the above, sample the Hindu population there under various age groups, as shown below:

    Bangladesh religious-demography context
    Contextual replacement image. The original embedded media could not be recovered; this image does not reproduce the original dataset or copyrighted frame.

    A brief look, and clearly one could see how the ‘Hindu future’ is shaping out — or rather, phasing out — of the demographic picture there. The next time your Bangladeshi friend boisterously asserts that Hindus are doing very well and rather prospering more than the minorities in India, you know what to serve him piping hot!